Friday, 22 July 2016

THE IMPLICATIONS OF BREXIT FOR AFRICA

The Centre for Democracy & Development (CDD), in collaboration with Africa Vision 525 Initiative held a round-table discussion on 'The Implications of BREXIT for Africa' on the 21st of July, 2016 at Barcelona Hotel, Abuja. I am a Senior Fellow of CDD. Present at the occasion were policy makers, academics, students, diplomats, etc.

Some of the members of the panel are: Prof. Jibrin Ibrahim, Prof. Okello Oculi and Amb. Jadu Ilyasu. The major highlights of the submissions from the panelists and participants are as follows:

*It doesn't matter how long a country has been in a regional or international organisation, she can stop, reflect on, and indeed hold a referendum which could result in her pulling out of the organisation. This is exactly what the UK did, whether the outcome was expected or not. For us in Africa, especially Nigeria, we may begin to re-examine our membership of the AU, ECOWAS, the UN, etc. It is important to start from the inner concentric circle, ECOWAS, where the Article on the free movement of persons and goods is suspected to be hampering the fight against terrorism and rural banditry in Nigeria.

*Brexit shows that the issue of sovereignty is a weighty one, and every nation state would like to retain her sovereignty, especially when a critical mass of the population feels that their aspirations are not being favoured within a regional organisation.

*Some participants believe that Brexit may end up being only on paper, since the negotiation period for the UK to exit the EU has been extended from two years to five years and maybe seven years. This is seen as a ploy to delay the exit process while the aging generation in favour of Brexit dies off!

*Whether Brexit happens in reality eventually or not, Africa, and indeed Nigeria, needs to watch the process keenly.

*It is a blessing in disguise that Nigeria has not signed the Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) which many other Africa countries have been bamboozled to sign. With Brexit, Nigeria may now be able to sign preferential trade agreements (PTAs) with the UK, and indeed the EU, directly, and separately.

*Cyprus and Malta may remain the only Commonwealth countries in the EU with the exit of the UK. Who would speak on behalf of Nigeria in the EU? These two countries cannot muster the 'weight' of the UK as regards influence.

*If Scotland leaves the UK, as she's threatening to, then we may only have Great Britain left.

*The UK may adopt a low, or indeed zero tariff on imports in the wake of Brexit in order to undermine EU member countries.

*Brexit is likely to have minimal effect on trade relations between Nigeria and the UK. However, Kenya and South Africa economies may be affected more by Brexit because of their volume of trade with the UK.

*Should Nigeria, and indeed Africa be worried about Brexit? NO! This is because the impact would be minimal, but we need to keep monitoring events as they unfold...

23rd July, 2016

*Britain just got its first concrete sign that Brexit will destroy the economy    https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/britain-just-got-first-concrete...
*Brexit: Why untangling UK industry from Europe may be impossible    https://t.co/gTaR
*Fences: A Brexit diary by Zadie Smith    www.nybooks.com/articles/2016/18/fences-brexit-diary/...
*Brexit blues    www.lrb.co.uk/v38/n15/john-lanchester/brexit-blues
*Metropolitan myths that led to Brexit    www.ft.com/cms/s/0/56U8a798...html
*Brexit votes: NOT the left behind    www.fabians.org.uk/brexit-voters-not-left-behind/
*Brexit: How politics could fuel downside risks to global markets    https://image-store-slideshare-com/
*How to start healing these Brexit family rifts    http://www.cam.ac.uk/research/discussion/how-to-start-healing-these-brexit-famliy-rifts
*Brexit presents Britain with a moment of transformational evolutionary potential    http://www.newmagnacarta.org/brexit-presents-us-with-a-moment-of...
*Brexit: The hell that was quickly postponed    https://lnkd.in/esGQqrg  #UK  #EU  #Finance  #Politics    http://cyeon.com/2016/07/20/the-brexit-the-hell-that-was-quickly-postponed/
*How Brexit is affecting the luxury market in London    www.mansionglobal.com/london...
*Musical about Brexit featuring a rapping Vladimir Putin    nbcnews.to/2fFqNkN
*The cost of Brexit: A decade of slower economic growth    http://t.co/WLnqUMk4cy
*Tony Blair says Brexit can be stopped    cnn.it/2fwI4MD
*'Have cake & eat it': Is this the UK's exit strategy?    reut.rs/2fH30x2
*Britain's European partners take a hard line on Brexit    https://t.co/wQkgolwzq3
*Britain may continue with some EU cooperation post-Brexit    reut.rs/2gUQ3Eu
*After Brexit & Trump, is Italy next?    https://twitter.com/WSJ
*2016 in charts: The year of Brexit & Trump    econ.st/2hw3Eyz  

24th July, 2016

*Brexit is a symptom of nationalism spreading across Europe    http://theglobeandmail.com/news/world/brexit-0617/
*The Brexit vote is a buying opportunity. Here's why      http://seekinggalpha.com/article/3984245-brexit-vote-buying-opportunity
*Brexit: Believing in discarded models    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/editorials/the...
*France & Germany in agreement over UK's EU exit    http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe...
*Brexit to dis-United Kingdom?    https://linkd.in/bjBaatV
*Reasons for Brexit    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/rob-commentary/we-kicked-around-the-working-class...
*The Brexit debate: June 2016    https://www.linkedin.com/groups/1882332/
*Why Brexit could be positive for emerging markets    https://fronteranews.com/tv/mobiuss-contrarian-picks-frontera-tv-exclusive/
*Germany proposes EU defence union after Brexit    https://www.neweurope.eu/article/germany-proposes-eu-defence-union-brexit/
*Global Britain: UK Foreign Policy in the era of Brexit    https://www.chatamhouse.org/event/global-britain-uk-foreign-policy-era-brexit
*NHS & Brexit    https://web.facebook.com/openbritain/videos/...
*The most dangerous moment for Europe since Brexit    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe
*British voters would vote for Brexit again, even though nearly half think leaving the EU will hurt them finacially    cnn.it/2h4fe8A
*Fog in the channel: What Brexit means for Africa    https://issafrica.org/.../fog-in-the-channel...
*6 months on, Brexit is shaking up British electoral politics    cht.hm/2ineNT5
*How & why Brexit triumphed    https://t.co/UyOUWMccPc
*Brexit & the Commonwealth    http://www.commonwealthroundtable.co.uk/
*Scotland will vote for independence in 2 years    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-scotland...

26th July, 2016

*Will giving more voice to native parliaments enhance the EU's legitimacy?     econ.st/2adOvll
*EU supports surges in big European countries after Brexit    http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-eu-poll...
*A German philosopher's advise on how to beat the rise of the far right in Europe    buff.ly/290laGw
*Europe on the edge: The new normal    edition.cnn.com/2016/07/28/europe-on-the-edge/
*Brexit: Britain must seek friendly divorce from Europe    http://cht.hm/2aQ
*Britain's new global role after Brexit    http://cht.hm/2ak...
*Theresa May's pugnacious chief-of-staff    econ,st/2ayv3Cp
*These are the EU countries with the most citizens living abroad    wef.ch/2aGgqrE
*Assessment of how Theresa May can deliver the UK's exit from the EU by Robin Niblett    cht.hm/2bOVsFH

7th August, 2016

*Elderly should sell homes to fund care, says aide to Theresa May    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/aug/...
*Preparing for the UK's Brexit negotiation    http://cht.hm/2b0VsFH
*Britain can't afford austerity    https://www.chatamhouse.org/publications/twt/britain-can-t-afford-austerity
*Challenges & opportunities facing Brexit Britain by Kwesi Kwarteng    https://www.chatamhouse.org/publications/twt/adieu-europe-hello-world
*World War II veterans & Brexit    http://news.vice.com/video/heres-what-world-war-ii-veterans-say-about-brexit
*Brexit: An exercise in Project Management (PM)    http://bit.ly/2aO62C3

19th August, 2016

*Surviving Brexit: How Britain should cart its future outside the EU    https://www.chatamhouse.org/publications/twt/surviving-brexit
*Brexit is 'full steam ahead', Theresa May vows    www.express.co.uk/news/uk/700011/Brexit-full-stream-ahead-Theresa-May-Prime-Minister
*Rio 2016: EU puts itself top of Olympics table, removes Great Britain completely    www.express.co.uk/news/uk/701448/Rio-2016-olympics-european-union-eu-brexit-ukip
*Article 50, the EEA and what the UK will have to do to leave?    cht.hm/2bbhF1L
*Theresa May's inequality audit seems clever, but it will backfire    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/aug/28/theresa-may-inequality...
*Theresa May's N3,150 lunch shows democracy is still for sale    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/sep/02/theresa-may-3150-lunch...
*Two months after 'Brexit' vote, British push to leave the EU in a muddle    www.nytimes.com/2016/09/01/world/europe/britain-brexit-eu.html/
*The vicious assault on UK judges by the Brexit press is a threat to democracy    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/nov/04/assault-uk-judges-brexit

7th September, 2016

*G20 meeting: Obama tells May that US won't prioritise UK trade deal    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/sep/04/...
*Juncker vows Brexit won't kill off EU    https://www.guardian.ng/news/juncker-vows-brexit-wont-kill-off-eu/
*Video: 'This is a funeral' - Le Pen predicts the end of the EU as she promises 'FREXIT'    lionheartnews.com/2016/09/video-this-is-a-funeral-le-pen-predicts...
*European embassies in the UK log more alleged hate crimes since Brexit vote    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/sep/...
*No halfway house will do: Theresa May will go for a hard Brexit    https://www.ft.com/content/
*UK's pursuit of extremism is lost in translation    https://www.chatamhouse.org/expert/comment/uks...
*UK government loses Article 50 court fight: Must consult Parliament before leaving the EU    https://t.co/BrfvkdOlCB
*The High Court  has ruled that Parliament can derail Brexit    www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-legal-challenge-latest-loses-verdict-theresa-may-article-50-parliament-approval...

22nd October, 2016

*British PM attends her first European Council meeting in Brussels: 'The UK will play a full role until we leave the EU'    https://twitter.com/number10gov/status/...
*Bregret: If the EU referendum was held today, 'Remain' would win    www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-eu-referendum-held-again-second...
*Banks set to pull out of UK early next year    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/oct/22/leading-banks-set-to-pull-out-of...
*History tells us what'll happen next with Brexit & Trump    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/tobias-stone/history-tells-us...
*Trump & Brexit: The cost of failure to empathise    cht.hm/2gq3s4Q

13th October, 2018

*Brexit: A cry from the Irish border   https://www.linkedin.com/company/4697/...

4th November, 2018

*Brexit: Theresa May 'agrees deal with EU that would keep entire UK in Customs Union'   https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-customs-deal-hard-border-ireland-backstop-avoid-speculation...
 





 

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